Archive for the ‘Moto’ Category

MotoGP 2014 Le Mans Preview

May 13, 2014

All eyes on the streaking Marquez 

Repsol Honda #1 Marc Marquez sits atop the grand prix motorcycle racing world with expectations growing at a geometric rate.  Heading into Round 5, he has captured the last five poles, dating back to Valenciana last season, and has won every contest in 2014.  He has topped the timesheets in most of the practice sessions.  Aside from his boyish good looks, all he has going for him is timing, balance, reflexes, intelligence and a really good bike.  The only hope for the rest of the grid this weekend is rain and plenty of it. 

Luckily for the grid, the flying circus will be performing in France, where the last two races have been declared “wet.”  (When it’s heidi_klum_51raining pitchforks and hammer handles, having a marshal flashing a sign reading “WET RACE” is like watching Heidi Klum strut down a runway with some dweeb in the first row waving a sign reading “SUPERMODEL.”  Not exactly necessary.  Just sayin’.)

Recent History at Le Mans

The most recent dry race at the legendary Bugatti Circuit took place in 2011, when Repsol Honda chieftain Casey Stoner got away early on his way to a) the win, and b) that year’s championship.  Behind him, pandemonium reigned, as Marco Simoncelli put Stoner’s Honda teammate Dani Pedrosa out of the race and into the hospital with an ill-advised passing attempt on Lap 17.  Repsol #3 Andrea Dovizioso took advantage of Pedrosa’s misfortune to steal second place from Valentino Rossi, who put his Ducati Desmosedici on the podium for the first and only time that year.

In 2012, factory Yamaha stud Jorge Lorenzo ruled Le Mans in the rain, beating Rossi to the finish by 10 interminable seconds.  Rossi, in turn, punked Casey Stoner on the last lap, relegating the Australian, who had announced his surprise retirement that weekend, to third.  Afterwards, it was hard to tell whether Rossi was more jubilant over making it to the podium or sticking Stoner’s you-know-what in the dirt.

Dani-dani-pedrosa-9702356-435-380Last year was Dani Pedrosa’s One Shining Moment, as the diminutive Spaniard, who had struggled all weekend and started out of the six hole, put the hammer down at the start and led the last 23 laps of the very wet race, launching himself into first place for the season.  Cal Crutchlow, in his final (competitive) year aboard the Tech 3 Yamaha, managed second place, despite having his entire body held together with Bondo and strapping tape.  Rookie Marquez made it to third place after a three day escapade during which he spent roughly as much time in the runoff areas as on the track.  The two factory Ducati bikes managed fourth and fifth, unable to shake the cursed “mudder” label.

Feast or Famine for Rossi at Le Mans

In his last six visits to the Loire River valley, Valentino Rossi has experienced the highs and lows of his chosen profession.  He followed up his win in 2008 with the comical flag-to-flag outing in 2009 in which he finished 16th.  In 2010 he finished second to Yamaha teammate Lorenzo, and podiumed in both 2011 and 2012 while wrestling the Ducati.  Last year, back again with Yamaha, he crashed out of third place in the middle of the race under pressure from Crutchlow and ended up finishing 12th.

Some years chicken; some years feathers.  After watching his teammate Lorenzo get overtaken late in the day in Jerez by Mr. Pedrosa, Rossi is probably looking forward to a little payback this weekend, especially with Dani coming in at less than 100% fitness.

Latest Honda Fad—Arm Pump Surgery 

Last week both Dani Pedrosa and LCR Honda strongman Stefan Bradl underwent surgery to repair muscles in their forearms that want to bust out of their casings like bratwursts on a hot grille.  Pedrosa, whom we weren’t aware was having any physical problems on his way to another solid third place finish in Jerez, might simply miss going under general anesthesia, as it’s been almost a year since his last collarbone surgery.

Bradl, it will be remembered, had problems in Jerez that indicated something was wrong; now we know what it was.  Although both riders have been cleared to race this weekend, Le Mans is one of those stop-and-go joints that demands a lot of hard braking.  Pedrosa will have his work cut out for him to keep his own personal string of eight consecutive podium finishes alive.

There is no truth to the rumor that Alvaro Bautista requested permission to have surgery on one of his forearms, in order to do a little bonding with the factory Honda riders who aren’t embarrassing themselves this season.  Bautista is not having arm pump issues, just every other issue imaginable.

This Just In—Cal Crutchlow Frustrated with DucatiCrutchlow

Last year, after four rounds, a fractious Cal “I’m Good Enough for a Factory Ride” Crutchlow sat in fourth place for the season with 55 points.  Later in the year, he achieved his goal of becoming a factory team rider, abandoning the Tech 3 Yamaha squad and hooking up with Ducati Corse to take on the badass Desmosedici.  Sure, the Big Red Machine was widely seen as a career buster.  Sure, even the Doctor was unable to get it to work right, suffering through two of the worst years of his life.  But, it was argued, Cal is big and burly and strong enough to bend the Ducati to his will.  He was going to show the world that it wasn’t just about the money.

Um, no.  Heading into Round 5, Cal sits mired in 16th place, a mere two points ahead of Karel Abraham, for God’s sake, with ten (10) championship points to show for his season thus far.  He’s now mouthing off in the media about the junk he’s being forced to ride.  He is the least productive of the four Ducati pilots, two of whom aren’t making “factory” money.  At this point, Cal needs to man up and start running with teammate Andrea Dovizioso, who podiumed in Austin and currently sits in fourth place for the year.  Having made his bed, the Brit needs to lie in it and STFU.  As they say back home, “Hard cheese, old boy.”

New Rubber Coming in 2016

Having grown weary of being the whipping boy for every rider from Valentino Rossi to Gabor Talmacsi since 2009, Bridgestone has announced that it will no longer be the sole supplier of tires to MotoGP after next season.  This leaves the field open for the other three candidates—Pirelli, Dunlop and Michelin—to step up to what is a thankless job.  Never mind all the data the company collects and then ostensibly uses to improve its retail lines.  Not a race goes by without some rider or 12 whining about grip, deterioration, etc.   From what little I’ve read on the subject, Michelin appears to have the inside track.  Similarly, there seems to be little debate that the change in tires will have a greater impact on the sport than the forthcoming changes in the ECUs.

What About the Weather in France This Weekend?

Glad you asked.  As of Tuesday afternoon, the forecast is surprisingly good, calling for fair skies and mild temps, with next to no chance of rain.  Personally, I’ll believe it when I see it.  If it turns out to be a dry race, I suspect there’ll be more Yamahas on the podium than Hondas.  If it’s wet, expect Andrea Dovizioso to find his way to the rostrum.  The race goes off at 8 am EDT on Sunday, and we hope to have results right here that afternoon, even though our favorite Motorcycle.com editor will likely be on his honeymoon.  Congratulations Dennis and Jackie.

Marquez Goes Four for Four in 2014

May 4, 2014

MotoGP 2014 Jerez Results by Bruce Allen 

On a picture-perfect Sunday afternoon in southern Spain, Marc Marquez took care of business, becoming the first polesitter to win in Jerez since Nicky Hayden in 2006.  He is the first rider to win the first four races of the season since Valentino Rossi in 2002.  He checked off Jerez on his list of Tracks Where I’ve Won Races, the last venue on the 2014 tour to make the list.  He is undefeated since clinching the world championship at Valencia in 2013.  In short, at age 21, he is the bomb-diggity of the MotoGP world. 

Before getting into the race itself, which was a procession up front and a dogfight in the middle of the pack, consider for a moment what it must be like to be #1 in the world at anything at age 21.  How about hitting .450 and winning the World Series in MLB?  Earning a ring while canning 40 points a game in the NBA?  Capturing the Grand Slam in the PGA?  For the Canadians reading this, scoring 200 points per season and hoisting Sir Stanley’s trophy?  Doing whatever it is they do at Manchester United really really well?  You get the point.  The question for Marquez is, other than the monotony of winning championship after championship for the next umpteen years, what’s left?

PodiumCapture

The 2014 Gran Premio bwin de España

Today’s race was riveting for perhaps the first half of the first lap, with Marquez on the Repsol Honda, Valentino Rossi and the desperate Jorge Lorenzo on the Movistar Yamahas, and dark horse Andrea Dovizioso on the factory Ducati all leading the race for a few seconds.  Things sorted themselves out fairly quickly, with Marquez taking the lead followed by Rossi, Lorenzo and, by Lap 2, Repsol #2 Dani Pedrosa.  Marquez then laid down a vapor trail and disappeared, leaving the other three Aliens free to slug it out all day for the less cool spots on the podium.  Things stayed this way until Lap 21, when Pedrosa finally managed to go through on Lorenzo, crushing his spirit on what had to be a miserable 27th birthday for the Mallorcan.

At day’s end, Marquez and Rossi appeared jubilant, Rossi having secured his second podium of the year.  At the post-race presser, Pedrosa appeared tired and subdued.  Lorenzo, naturally, was not invited to meet the press.  Having a hard time imagining what it’s like to be on top of the world at age 21?  Imagine what it must be like to feel past your prime at age 27. The 37 year-old Rossi appears rejuvenated, and pretty much announced today that he will remain in MotoGP after this year.  Rule #1 in this game is beat Cristina-Capella3your teammate, and Rossi is doing this.  Good for him.  Lorenzo’s sole consolation today was having been awarded the #1 brolly girl on the grid, a breathtaking long-stemmed brunette who made me regret once again not having studied Spanish in high school.

Elsewhere on the Grid

The battle for spots five through nine raged all day, with too many position changes to keep track of.  Ducati Corse #1 Andrea Dovizioso, in the midst of a very good season, started sixth and held off a resuscitated Alvaro Bautista on the Gresini Honda for fifth place.  Bautista, who had qualified 10th after crashing out of the first three races of the year, bought himself a little grace with his respectable sixth place finish today.  He will need to keep improving for the rest of the year to hold into his seat with the GO&FUN team next year.

Aleix Espargaro, the victim of another qualifying practice crash, started from the middle of the second row and finished seventh, not bad for an Open class entrant, but still disappointing after his stellar offseason.  Once again, the two Tech 3 Yamaha guys, Bradley Smith and Pol Espargaro, occupied consecutive spots at the finish, having traded places during the race from their starting positions.  All this togetherness from the French team leads one to believe they sit down tout ensemble after races for some brie and a glass of sauvignon blanc, passing around their camera phones to compare photos and share a few laughs.

LCR pilot Stefan Bradl, on a factory spec Honda, started seventh on the grid and finished 10th on a track where his dad won a race decades ago.  He finished just in front of Nicky Hayden, Hiro Aoyama and Scott Redding, all of whom were riding “customer” Hondas.  For would-be Alien Bradl, such stunning under-achievement will surely tarnish his reputation if it continues.  Guter Gott allmächtig! 

Pain and Suffering at the Back of the Pack

Three riders had forgettable days in Andalusia.  Andrea Iannone, over-achieving on the Pramac Ducati all season, came crashing back to earth this weekend.  After threatening for podiums at both Austin and Argentina, he qualified 15th on Saturday and retired out of 18th place during the race.  We will keep an eye on him going forward to see which was the fluke, today or Rounds 1-3.

Cal Crutchlow, whose crash in Austin left him with a mangled right pinky and “bruised lungs” (?) missed the trip to Argentina and returned this weekend for three days of Churchillian blood, toil, tears and sweat.  Fighting the pain in his hand, he could only qualify 14th and retired on Lap 6 with a braking problem, i.e., every time he applied the brakes he cried out for his mama. Welcome to Ducati Corse, big guy.

Finally, we turn to Colin Edwards, whom many of you hold in much higher esteem than do I.  Having somehow made it into Q2, he spent most of the day running at the back of the pack with the likes of Michael Laverty and Broc Parkes before “retiring” on the final lap.  One has to be careful with that word these days, as Colin is apparently considering calling it a career before the end of the season, a rumor he denies.  But the three days of testing at Jerez commencing tomorrow will apparently see Simone Corsi, late of Moto2, on Edwards’ #5 NGM Forward Racing Yamaha.  Listen carefully, and you can hear the drumbeats off in the distance.

Tired of Tires

One of my least favorite subjects in this sport has to do with tires.  The race announcers were banging on about tire conservation during both the Moto2 and MotoGP races; other than Pedrosa, no one had much to say about tires after the race.  Rossi did credit his choice of the harder option front for his ability to hold off Pedrosa at the end, but tire selection and tire conservation are separate issues.

Bridgestone logoThe biggest announcement of the week, that Bridgestone was bailing as the official tire supplier to MotoGP after next season, produced a shockwave throughout the paddock, with every rider quoted on the story professing their profound respect and affection for the company and its products they’ve spent the past few years bashing continuously.  Dorna wants a single supplier, and has put out an RFP for same that expires in only a few weeks.  Perhaps some aggressive manufacturer will step up, perhaps not.  I, for one, would like to see MotoGP return to letting each team negotiate its own tire contract.  Given the profusion of classes on the grid—Factory, Factory 2, Open, Mongrel—it seems a little silly for Dorna to require one manufacturer to come up with the range of compounds necessary to allow each team to maximize its on-track performance.  Just sayin’.

The Times They Are A-Changing

December 7, 2013

So, first Valentino Rossi cuts Jeremy Burgess loose.  Then, Honda re-assigns Alberto Puig from his job as Svengali to Dani Pedrosa to developing young talent for HRC.  One gets the sense that both Rossi and Pedrosa are seen by their respective employers as being on the back nines of their careers, and the expensive advisors who have been with them since, like, forever, are no longer a good investment.  Colin Edwards is a relic, and appears to be being retained simply in order to mentor his new teammate.  If he is on the team in 2015 I’ll buy you a good cigar.  The racing world is holding its breath awaiting the arrival of Alex Rins in the premier class.

Meanwhile, Marquez, the Espargaro brothers, and Scott Redding are the new young guns, the guys who will challenge for Alien status for the next five years.  Jorge Lorenzo will be working his ass off to keep Marquez from eclipsing Kenny Roberts’ record of three world championships in his first three years, but is unlikely to succeed in his efforts.  If Marquez can avoid meaningful injuries–a dubious prospect, given his riding style–he could win the next eight titles without breaking a sweat.  The return of Suzuki and Aprilia to full factory status in the next two years will have no effect on that.

Ezpeleta and Company will continue their mission of trying to level the playing field and dumbing down the equipment, hoping to end the domination of Spanish riders at the expense of the sport worldwide.  He would be better off supporting junior racing leagues in Italy, England and the United States, grooming some younger talent who could then arrive in Moto3 with some kind of chance to compete with the Spanish kids who’ve been racing since they were 10 years old.

Late Braking MotoGP logo

2014 Valencia Test Times, Day One

November 11, 2013

Here are the results from the first day of testing, courtesy of Crash.net:

1. Jorge Lorenzo ESP Yamaha Factory Racing (YZR-M1) 1m 31.257s (Lap 46/48)
2. Valentino Rossi ITA Yamaha Factory Racing (YZR-M1) 1m 31.350s (41/42)
3. Stefan Bradl GER LCR Honda MotoGP (RC213V) 1m 31.751s (25/40)
4. Andrea Iannone ITA Energy T.I. Pramac Racing (GP13) 1m 31.925s (46/49)
5. Andrea Dovizioso ITA Ducati Team (GP13) 1m 31.943s (30/36)
6. Cal Crutchlow GBR Ducati Team (GP13) 1m 32.054s (36/39)
7. Michele Pirro ITA Ducati Test Team (GP13) 1m 32.698s (26/32)
8. Yonny Hernandez COL Ignite Pramac Racing (GP13) 1m 32.745s (33/37)
9. Hiroshi Aoyama JPN Power Electronics Aspar (RCV1000R) 1m 33.020s (38/38)
10. Pol Espargaro ESP Monster Yamaha Tech 3 (YZR-M1) 1m 33.187s (32/45)
11. Scott Redding GBR Go&Fun Honda Gresini (RCV1000R) 1m 34.195s (31/34)
12. Michael Laverty GBR Paul Bird Motorsport (PBM-ART CRT) 1m 34.378s (16/17)
13. Martin Bauer AUT Remus Racing Team (S&B Suter-BMW CRT) 1m 35.115s (22/27)
14. Mike Di Meglio FRA Avintia Racing (FTR-Kawasaki) 1m 36.304s (19/26)

We should not assume that Mike Di Meglio will be riding the #2 bike for Avintia Racing next year.  Perhaps the Frenchman just had some time on his hands today.

Hector Barbera has reportedly signed with the team for two more years of second-rate performance, telling OmniCorse.it, ” We are very happy to have renewed with the team Avintia, a sign of great confidence that comes on both sides. With a two year contract, I will have the peace of mind and the desire to continue to work to do well. There is an interesting project and we will do everything to bring it to fruition . ”  I didn’t realize finishing 17th was so exhilarating.  And what is “fruition?”  13th?

Cal Crutchlow, after his first day on the factory Ducati, observed, “”I’m not familiar with Ducati motorcycles. After three years (with Tech 3), a different manufacturer will always feel alien, but I enjoyed it and it was fun. Working with the Ducati crew is also different than the usual but still good, so we enthusiastically await the coming days. ”  Trust me, Cal–this is the only time in the next two years your name and the word “alien” will ever appear in the same sentence.

More tomorrow.

Marc Marquez–2013 MotoGP Champion

November 10, 2013

by Bruce Allen.  An edited version of this story will appear on Motorcycle.com later today.  Until then, please enjoy the raw copy. 

With 13 points separating defending world champion Jorge Lorenzo and rookie challenger Marc Marquez heading into the 2013 finale in Valencia, the tension leading up to the race couldn’t have been cut with a machete.  Unforced falls by leaders in the Moto2 and Moto3 tilts served as a reminder that, as Yogi Berra once observed, “it ain’t over ‘til it’s over.”  When it was over, however, Yamaha icon Lorenzo had won the race and handed over his crown to Repsol Honda’s boy wonder Marquez.  It feels like the beginning of a new era in grand prix racing. 

Final Podium of 2013-2

To take his third title in the last four years, Lorenzo needed a win and a load of bad karma to befall Marquez.  Winning, as it turned out, wouldn’t be a problem, as he had the pace all weekend while Marquez was in an uncharacteristic risk-aversion mode.  Lorenzo’s strategy early in the race was to take the lead, slow the pace, and see if mayhem might arise behind him.  Instead, he found himself in a cage match with Repsol #2 Dani Pedrosa, who had been dispatched by his team with orders to harass and annoy Lorenzo.  As a result, the first ten laps of the race were as good as it gets in motorsports.

At the start, the two Japanese factory teams got away at the front, with Lorenzo and Pedrosa playing grab-ass while Marquez lay back slightly, bracing for an expected assault from Yamaha #2 Valentino Rossi, whose job was to attack Marquez and, hopefully, force him into a king-sized mistake.  Five separate times during the first seven laps, Lorenzo and Pedrosa exchanged positions twice, as Pedrosa would go through on Lorenzo and Lorenzo would immediately return the favor.  Meanwhile, Rossi, pedaling as hard as he could, was unable to mount the slightest challenge to Marquez, abandoning his teammate to the usual Repsol double-team.  [In his first year back from two purgatorial seasons with Ducati, The Doctor has officially been demoted to The Physician’s Assistant.  One hopes he gets out of the game before becoming The Registered Nurse.]

Lap 10 was decisive.  Pedrosa had gotten in front of Lorenzo once again, and the now-desperate Mallorcan dove inside hard enough to prompt an examination from Race Direction, pushing Pedrosa way wide and allowing Marquez to take the lead, with the ever-dangerous Alvaro Bautista, onboard the GO&FUN Gresini Honda, sneaking briefly into third place as Pedrosa re-entered in sixth.  Lorenzo and Marquez then traded passes late in the lap and again for the last time on Lap 11.  Rossi and Pedrosa went though on Bautista on Lap 12.  Pedrosa, with Lorenzo’s tire tracks on both sides of his leathers, passed Rossi for the last time on Lap 14, and was shown a little respect by Marquez on Lap 27, who sat up to allow him back into second place, cementing the final order of finish.

Lorenzo’s Pyrrhic victory displayed once again the heart of a champion, while Marquez’ well-considered third place result evidenced intelligence and coachability.  Having won the last three races of the season, two of which were contested at very Honda-friendly tracks, Lorenzo demonstrated that Yamaha’s new magic gearbox has decidedly leveled the field.  Thus, my coronation of Marquez as the inevitable ruler of the next decade appears to be somewhat premature.  Certainly, the next few seasons promise some epic duels between the two Spaniards, with Pedrosa and Rossi filling the undercards until they decide to hang up their leathers and call it a career.

2013 Valencia Top Ten Finishers

Valencia 2013 Top Ten

2014 Starts Tomorrow

Top tier team testing for next season begins tomorrow at Ricardo Tormo, although Yamaha will not take the track until Tuesday.  Cal Crutchlow, who crashed out of fifth position today, climbs aboard the Ducati Desmosedici for the first of what promises to be two years of well-paid ineptitude.  His former and now new teammate Andrea Dovizioso seemed at some point to lose interest in dragging the big red bike so far behind the leaders, having earned 81 points in the first half of the season and 59 thereafter.  Crutchlow’s place on the Monster Tech 3 team will be taken by Pol Espragaro, who graduates from Moto2 with the 2013 trophy in his mitts.

Brit Scott Redding, who finished the Moto2 season in second place, joins Alvaro Bautista on the Gresini team with one of the new production Honda RCV1000Rs beneath him, and will benefit from the extra horsepower that comes with it.  Both Nicky Hayden and Hiro Aoyama will go to work tomorrow for the Aspar team, also riding the new Honda lite machine, with current riders Aleix Espargaro defecting to NGM Forward Racing to join Colin Edwards on Yamaha-powered hybrids, and Randy de Puniet slinking off to the Suzuki factory to test their anticipated 2015 entry for a year.  The Pramac junior Ducati team will retain Andrea Iannone on factory equipment and Yonny Hernandez on a spec version, with “The Seven Circles of Hell” embroidered on his leathers.  We’ll have to wait and see what transpires closer to the bottom of the premier class food chain.

A Thriller at Moto3 

The Moto3 race today was an object lesson for those of us who turn up our noses at the youngsters on the little bikes.  Three Spanish kids—Luis Salom, Alex Rins and Maverick Vinales—lined up at the start understanding this was a rare “winner take all” occasion.  Getting off cleanly from the front row, all three attacked the 24 laps of the Ricardo Tomo circuit, with Vinales and Salom taking turns in the lead, and young Rins sitting in third.  Unaccountably, on lap 15 Salom lost the front and slid unmolested into the kitty litter, leaving Vinales and Rins to slug it out for the title.  With four laps left, the riders dropped their gloves and started throwing hooks and haymakers, every turn contested, the gap separating them measured in hundredths of seconds.

Almost as if it were scripted, it came down to the final turn on the final lap, with Rins going through, running a tiny bit wide, and leaving the door ajar for Vinales, who eased through and won the sprint to the flag.  Vinales graduates to Moto2 next season, while Rins appears destined to remain in Moto3 for another year, where he is expected to contest the championship with teammate Alex Marquez on the way to their expected Moto2 debuts in 2015.  With Suzuki and now Aprilia having announced their intentions to re-enter the premier class fray in 2015 and 2016, respectively, and speculation rampant as to whom will pilot the new factory bikes, Vinales, Rins and Marquez the Younger would appear to be logical suspects.  By then, one of the three may have replaced Dani Pedrosa on the Repsol Honda and a second received the baton from Valentino Rossi on the factory Yamaha.

A Final Word on the 2013 Season

Aside from Marquez’ brilliance, no discussion of the past year can take place without mention of Lorenzo’s two injurious crashes in the Netherlands and Germany or Pedrosa’s ruinous accident at the Sachsenring.  Last year, in anticipation of Marquez joining the premier class, we found an appropriate quote from Rudyard Kipling with which to close our season’s work.  This year, we sacrifice literary elegance for down-home wisdom, and turn to the late Don Meredith, the hilarious quarterback of the Dallas Cowboys back in the day.  It was Meredith who observed, “If ifs and buts were candy and nuts, wouldn’t it be a merry Christmas?

christmas-candy-bark2

Enjoy the off-season, be well, and please join us here again next spring for more MotoGP news and analysis.  On time and on the money.

Marquez: Be Smart, Be Cool, Be Champion

October 9, 2013

Rookie need not run the table to nab the trophy. 

Marquez in Sepang 2013MotoGP’s annual Pacific do-si-do begins this week in oppressively hot Sepang, Malaysia, home to the Shell Advance Malaysian Motorcycle Grand Prix.  Combining high-speed racing and mind-numbing heat, it is the Pacific Rim’s answer to biathlon, the ridiculous Nordic merger of downhill skiing and sniping.  Irrepressible soon-to-be World Champion rookie Marc Marquez needs only to hang around close to the front and stay on the podium from here to Valenciana to rule the big bike class of MotoGP in 2013.  Here’s the rest of the story on Motorcycle.comLorenzo - Marquez

MotoGP Laguna Seca 2013 Results

July 25, 2013

Marc Marquez is, at age 20, The Man.  Just sayin’.

Getting a little behind in my work here.  Please read this one on Motorcycle.com. ; they didn’t change a word.   Thanks for following my blog.

Marquez the Man

Random MotoGP musings on a Friday…

June 28, 2013

…after my boy Jorge Lorenzo fell, together with his multiply-fractured collarbone, out of the 2013 championship race in a relatively tame high side on Wednesday, nothing like Marquez’s high side on Thursday, in which the rookie went completely ragdoll in a pas de deux with his bike, broke a finger, broke a toe, walked away and qualified on the front row.

One of the racing publications suggested the possibility that Lorenzo might try to race on Saturday without having qualified on Friday.  Not sure how that works, other than badly.  If Lorenzo can be 85% by Saxony he can wait for Pedrosa to crash, or, delightfully, the rookie to CAUSE Pedrosa to crash in a silly overtaking move somewhere like Laguna or Brno.

What a bummer it is to be kind of Pedrosa-neutral, ready to see him BEAT Lorenzo for the title, but now having to almost hope he has bad luck and collects a DNF or two in order to make it a horse race again.

If Marquez were to accidentally dump Pedrosa on the way to a win Sunday, Livio Suppo’s worst nightmare come true, the standings would look like this:

Pedrosa     123

Marquez    118

Lorenzo     116

Crutchlow   91

Just sayin’.

________________________________

A.  Competing  =  starting a race.

B.  Qualifying  =  finding one hot lap.

C.  Racing  =  consistent hot laps

D.  Winning = Doing lots of C and leaving some B for when it is necessary or opportune.

When turned upside down this approximates the food chain in MotoGP.  There are two, maybe three D’s.  There are four or five C’s.  There are three or four B’s.  And the rest–16 or so–are mainly out there turning laps, maybe qualifying top six in the rain, looking for photo ops for the sponsors, chasing promotional opportunities.  Lots of training, great reflexes–kind of guy who could snatch your dollar bill out of the air from 2″.  But the top 10 are the only guys with even a remote chance of a podium.

So, 60% of the field is out there to wear the colors and get some exposure for the sponsors.  Of the rest, perhaps four or five have a chance of winning a race.  The rest, if you’ll pardon the observation, are satisfied with one hot lap in qualifying, keeping the shiny side up for 25 laps, letting attrition take its toll on the field, and telling everyone about their  “Top Ten” finish and what a thrill it was, how the team–everyone but him, really–worked really hard all weekend blah blah blah.  That he didn’t actually overtake anyone all day, but managed 9th place nonetheless.  In the words of Gilbert Godfrey, “Big whoop.”  Some pretty big names in this group.  Former  world champions.

Nice that at least one of the top ten is a “CRT” baller, Aleix Espargaro.  Make it a new rule that if brothers are competing in the series, they must either both be on prototypes or both on Frankenbikes.  We’ve had the Spies rule, then the Marquez rule.  Time for the Espargaro rule.

MotoGP Assen 2013 Preview

June 25, 2013

by Bruce Allen.  An edited version of this story will appear on Motorcycle.com this week.

Team Yamaha Seeks Momentum at Amen Corner 

The Cathedral at Assen.  The Sachsenring in Germany.  Laguna Seca, on the scenic Monterey Peninsula.  MotoGP’s Amen Corner, with apologies to Augusta National.  Three rounds in four weeks, two of which favor the Honda.  What happens over the next month will determine whether Dani Pedrosa earns his first premier class world championship in 2013.  Or not.

Our crack research staff has examined goings-on at the three locales over the past four years, in an effort to detect trends not visible to the naked eye.  The conclusions are, in a word, mixed.  Lorenzo’s expectations will be highest at Assen and lowest in California.  Pedrosa’s expectations will be highest in Germany and lowest in Holland.  Marc Marqiez has won three in a row in the lower classes at both Assen and Sachsenring, but has never set foot on the track at Laguna Seca.  If Andrea Dovizioso is going to podium this year, it needs to be at Amen Corner.  Same for Valentino Rossi and Cal Crutchlow.

Look for Pedrosa and Marquez to dominate the timesheets in practice.  The stop-and-go nature of Assen tends to favor the Hondas, although Pedrosa has never won here in the premier class.  Lorenzo got knocked out of the competition early last year in a race he looked capable of winning.  And Marquez loves this place.  Crutchlow had a decent fifth place finish here last year and looks to improve upon that .  Dovizioso has podiumed here the last two years.

It promises to be an interesting weekend in the Low Countries.  Another Must Win round for Team Yamaha.  Listen carefully and you can hear the pressure building on Jorge Lorenzo.

Bums with Seats, Seats with Bums

Tech 3 Yamaha Brit Cal Crutchlow is so in the wind.  Rumored to be entertaining offers from Ducati and Honda already.  Not sure where he would fit with Honda, as LCR must feel pretty good about Bradl, and Bautista under contract with Fausto Gresini through 2014.  Ducati makes the most sense, in our view.  Nicky Hayden might enjoy a change, going to WSB to promote the brand in the US and compete for titles.  Crutchlow is a better size to handle the Ducati and can ride dirty.  He and Dovizioso seem to bring out the best in each other.

Unless Rossi suddenly, shockingly retires to go race cars, and Crutchlow joins Lorenzo.  Which would be the bomb.  Rossi claims to have solved his braking problems, and wants us to believe he will compete for the win this weekend.  Nothing I would rather see, but I’ll wait for the podium ceremony.

Scott Redding in the wind, either by way of his current Marc VDS Moto2 team going up in class, or through an offer from a current CRT team.  There may even be a prototype, or a Yamaha-powered CRT available.  In any case, Redding is a cinch to move up to the big bikes in 2014.  Can’t imagine the folks at Monster Tech 3 aren’t re-thinking their signing of Bradley Smith last year.

Aprilia is widely expected to increase its MotoGP presence in 2014.  The overall number floating around for next year’s grid is 26, an increase of two over this year.  Suzuki’s re-entry in 2015 could bring the grid to 28.  With Yamaha engines and complete Honda bikes on the market next year, the price of poker looks to go up, as does the overall quality of competition.  The top speeds may come down, while the bottom speeds come up.  This will work as long as the world economy continues to show signs of life, and sponsors are ready to get onboard for millions of euros.  The new rules, the killing off of the claiming rules, leaving the class with the name only, seem to be working, i.e., producing tighter grids over time.  It does appear that some of the teams have developed credible chasses, which, combined with the Yamaha prototype power plant, could actually compete for Top Five status.  Wildcards will abound, and the look could be that of Moto2 on steroids.

MotoGP in Indianapolis and the U.S.

As to the impending loss of the Indianapolis round in favor of Argentina, while there are still, for now, four Spanish rounds, this seems like a poor way to build the brand in the United States.  Go to Argentina, sure, but answer this one question—what the heck’s so great about Laguna Seca?  The Corkscrew and decades of tradition.  Period.  No underclass bikes.  Less attendance than Indianapolis, in a remote part of the world.  Dorna might want to toy with the idea of making an effort to promote the sport in the United States—starting, for example, by not making it virtually impossible for web-based American and Canadian internet journalists to get race credentials and access to teams.  Just sayin’.

Indianapolis can hold 250,000 people.  At half capacity, the numbers would dwarf Laguna Seca.  Indy has a bit of racing tradition of its own.  It’s easier to get to, and the bike-friendly Mug ‘n’ Bun drive-in on W. 10th St. has spectacular burgers, onion rings and milkshakes.  Where, we wonder, do you plan to eat in Buenos Aires?

This year Indianapolis will feature all three MotoGP classes, the cruisers, and electric bikes that hit 180, with the usual exhibition riding, revelry, and magic that Motorcycles on Meridian brings to downtown Indy–Middle America–on Friday and Saturday nights.  There’s new management at the IMS that needs more big events at the track.  Losing MotoGP is not something they’re anxious to do.

The best way to grow the sport in the United States, of course, would be to open the gates on Saturdays in 2014 at all three venues.  Let everyone in for free.  With bikes on track all day, the noise and hoopla, there would be an immediate and permanent increase in the paying fan base at all three American races.

Vendors would love it.  One year of Free Saturdays would grow the sport in the United States permanently.  It could very well be that both the U.S. and Spain end up with three races, as Aragon was a last-second, one-time replacement for the Hungary fiasco in 2011 and is now an accidental fixture on the calendar.  Jerez, Catalunya and Valenciana.  Austin, Monterey and Indianapolis.  Argentina.  India.  Singapore.

C’mon, MotoGP.  Man up.  Go to 20 rounds and get rid of the “summer vacation” which stretches this year from July 21 to August 18, when darkness descends upon the sport in the public consciousness.  (If this were the NFL, it would be like having all 32 teams take off three weeks in November so the guys can go off fishing.)  WTF?  Run the sport at the height of summer when competition from other sports is at a minimum.  Increase the number of back-to-backs at nearby locales, so fans can take off one week of work and chase two rounds of racing.  Give US fans a taste on Saturday, and they’ll come back in droves on Sunday.

The wheel-to-wheel competition, when MotoGP is at its best, is riveting, the best in motorsports.  Dorna, in its own rather totalitarian way, is trying to make the grids larger and more, um, congested.  The manufacturers and the venues need only to build the brand, generate some on-track exposure to racing fans of all stripes.  There’s no reason fans of auto racing cannot get juiced watching the imports doing 200+ on the main straight at Indianapolis.

Build it, MotoGP, and they will come in the United States.

MotoGP Mugello 2013 Preview

May 27, 2013

by Bruce Allen

Team Yamaha Needs to Assert Itself 

As Round Five of the 2013 MotoGP championship season steams toward us, the very air crackling in its wake,  we are reminded of one of the oldest truths in motor sports.  We are reminded that championships are rarely won in the first quarter of the season.  They can, however, be lost.  Such is the inconvenient truth facing Yamaha pilots Jorge Lorenzo and Valentino Rossi this weekend at the circuit that will almost surely bear Rossi’s name someday. 

For Team Yamaha, finishing one-two at Mugello would be like holding serve—great, yeah, but nothing to really celebrate.  Anything less will range from a disappointment to a disaster, neither of which would be helpful at this point of this season.  Or, actually, any point.  Of any season.  Not helpful at all.

Expectations for Team Blue are high this weekend.  As are the stakes.

For the ebullient Repsol Honda team, fresh off their French triumph, putting one bike on the podium at Mugello is both necessary and sufficient.  Two would be a big win.  Zero only happens if someone fails to finish the race.  Two Hondas on the Italian podium spells trouble for the factory Yamaha team.  Trouble we might have seen coming, had we been paying closer attention to the season and less attention to Losail.

Losail gave us a false sense of Lorenzo/Rossi/Yamaha security.  Look at the points earned by the primary factory teams round by round:

Round/Venue

Repsol Honda Team

Factory Yamaha Team

     

One – Losail

29

45

Two – COTA

45

26

Three – Jerez

45

29

Four – Le Mans

41

13

 

Average (less Round One)

44

23

Losail affected our thinking, putting the end of last season, and the entire offseason testing program, out of our heads.  That was an error in perception. My error, though I’m probably not alone.  But Losail is, after all, the outlier, the season opener under the lights in the desert, and doesn’t really have much of anything to do with anything else.  So Lorenzo and Rossi’s surprising 1-2 at Losail obscured the fact that Honda appeared to have it very much going on heading into the season.  Other than at Losail.

Since then, that has been the exact case.  One/two, one/two and one/three in three “normal” rounds.   Yamaha might insist we throw out Le Mans as the second outlier—France in the cold and wet—but even doing so, the blue bikes are not keeping up.  Not in Texas or Jerez, which isn’t really surprising, given the layouts.  But not in Le Mans, either, where Yamaha success has generally come easily.  True, Rossi was flying when he crashed in France and looked to have podium written all over him, but such is life running with the big dogs.

Scoreboard. 

Changing of the Guard Underway?

If, as expected, Pol Espargaro signs a one year deal with Monster Tech3 Yamaha, it suggests the Rossi era at Yamaha will end, again, after the 2014 season, in The Doctor’s 35th year.  It will point to Lorenzo and Espargaro fronting the factory team versus Pedrosa and Marquez on the Hondas.  It means Yamaha will have to find more acceleration, while Honda seems to have found all it needs.

There is, too, the outside possibility Dani Pedrosa would not be offered a new contract at the expiration of his current deal after 2014. Lorenzo - Marquez To ride the Repsol Honda for nine (9) years, with all those wins, but no titles…And it doesn’t get any easier at age 30, which will be the age he turns in the first year of his next contract.  There must be those at Honda Racing HQ who have run out of patience with the gutsy little Spaniard.  They want titles; they don’t get all choked up listening to the Spanish national anthem.

Anyway.  If Marc Marquez is, indeed, The Next Great Thing and, by extension, Espargaro the Next Next Great Thing, then whom, we wonder, is the Next Next Next Great Thing?  Scott Redding?  Alex Rins?  Alex Marquez?

It was only 2011 when Marco Simoncelli looked like The Next Great Thing.

Whomever he turns out to be, he will enter MotoGP at a time when it is becoming homogenized.  When the prototype bikes will be getting slowed and the CRT bikes faster.  When teams will likely experience more sudden success and more thorough financial failure.  Where the rules will continue to bend in favor of the more democratic CRT bikes, and away from the monolithic factory behemoths and traditional sponsors who have funded and ruled the sport forever.

The revelation that Dorna Big Cheese and magnate Carmen Ezpeleta is a closet socialist is too sweet.  He’s starting to make MotoGP sound like kids’ rec league soccer, wanting “EVERYONE to get a trophy!”  “Yes, we would like 30 bikes that all go the same speed and that cost the teams €100,000 each only.  They can use as much fuel as they like and are limited to 12 engines for the season.  No other rules.  We don’t need no more steenkin’ rules.  12 engines.  €100,000 each.  Plenty of gas.  Brolly girls.  That’s IT.”  Which, in the opinion of a lot of purists, is in fact desirable.  Delusional, but fun to think about.

MotoGP is morphing, squeezed by economics , resembling World SuperBikes more each year.  Now, if Aprilia would step up with a two bike factory team, and if Suzuki could become relevant again.  Wouldn’t it be fun to see, say, Nicky Hayden and Ben Spies united on a hot new Suzuki MotoGP team.  If not Hayden, then perhaps Spies and Redding, who currently rides 9kg over the weight floor in Moto2 and would be a force on 1000cc.    How about Big Brother Aleix Espargaro and Crutchlow fronting a factory Aprilia team?  If Little Brother gets a prototpe, it’s only fair that big brother gets one too.

Back to Mugello

MotoGP success for team Yamaha in Italy—both bikes on the podium—would move the focus to the following three rounds,  spaced bi-weekly, more or less, in Catalunya, Assen and the Sachsenring  heading into the heat of the summer.  Catalunya favors Yamaha.  Assen and Germany both favor Honda, at least recently.  Let’s review.  Team Yamaha needs to score a lot of points in Italy and Catalunya, keep it close in northern Europe, and hope to still be in it heading for the U.S. in July and August.

Otherwise, we’ll be reduced to arguing Marc vs. Dani or Dani vs. Marc.  When we’re not scratching our heads over whatever became of Stefan Bradl.  Or ruminating about why Cal Crutchlow doesn’t get any respect from owners.

As to our hope for two competitive factory teams at the top of MotoGP in 2013, one of two possible answers will emerge in Tuscany:  If Pedrosa and Marquez continue their hot streak at Mugello, it will probably mean Honda all the way in 2013.  That would be a No.  If Lorenzo and Rossi find what they need and dominate the proceedings, that would be a Maybe.

Let’s not forget the 2010 race.  Mugello that year was Round Four.  After Round Three in France, Lorenzo led Rossi 70 to 61, Dovizioso trailing in 3rd with 42.  Rossi had his high side in practice and was suddenly down and out of the chase for the title.  After Mugello, it was Lorenzo 90, Pedrosa 65, (Rossi 61), Dovizioso 58.  It was essentially over, suddenly Lorenzo’s to lose.  In the blink of an eye.

At 200 mph on two wheels with the best in the world on the best of the world, as observed in Forrest Gump, “(stuff) happens.”  Marquez, to his credit, has been off his bike only once thus far in his premier class debut.  Pedrosa, on the other hand, has been separated from his too often to count over the years, generally with bad and lasting effects.  Marquez’s style seems to invite the close encounters he’s enjoyed over his brief career.  But he, too, has memories of Sepang, where he hit his head hard enough in 2011 to have double vision for the next six months.  While the rest of the world grieved for Sic, Marquez also dealt with the possibility that his promising professional career had ended before it fully started.

As we’ve already seen, such worries were misplaced.

See live coverage of the Italian Grand Prix Sunday at 7:30 am EDT on SpeedTV.  We’ll have the results of the race here on Sunday afternoon.